Reds vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 8/11/23
Pittsburgh Pirates (52-63) vs Cincinnati Reds (60-57)
Game Info: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)
Johan Oviedo (6-11) (4.18) vs Andrew Abbott (6-3) (2.93)
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +102 / Cincinnati Reds -122 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Pirates are fourth in the NL Central, but they have played decently well over the last few weeks. Cincinnati is third in the NL Central and only 2.5 Games out of first place, but they have completely fallen apart over the last two weeks.
Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 60-57 this season and they have lost eight of their last nine Games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the Marlins, where they lost two out of three Games at home. The Reds pitching staff has been a disaster in recent Games and the bullpen blew a 4-1 lead late in Game 3 against Miami. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average this season. The Reds offense has scored 564 runs with a .250 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. TJ Friedl is batting .281 with 10 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-3 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this year.
Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 52-63 this season and they have won three of their last five Games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series split with the Braves, where they won two Games and lost two Games. The Pirates played well in the series against Atlanta and scored 25 runs in the four Games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 482 runs with a .237 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this year. Jack Suwinski is batting .212 with 21 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Johan Oviedo, who is 6-11 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 131.1 innings pitched this season.
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Matchup/League Facts
The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (130).
The Cincinnati Reds ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (23).
The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (21).
The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 7th in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
Pick
The Reds come into this Game as a small favorite, but they have not played very good baseball over the last ten Games. Cincinnati desperately needs a series win here, but the Pirates are playing well and just gave the Braves all they could handle. Pittsburgh is starting Johan Oviedo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. Cincinnati is starting Andrew Abbott, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (9 IP). Abbott has been roughed up in his last two starts and faces a Pittsburgh team that is hitting the ball very well. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this Game and I like the over.
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