Rays vs Royals Prediction - MLB Picks 7/16/23
Kansas City Royals (26-67) vs Tampa Bay Rays (60-35)
Game Info: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 2:10 pm (Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium)
Jordan Lyles (1-11) (6.42) vs Zach Eflin (10-4) (3.25)
Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals +190 / Tampa Bay Rays -210 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Tampa Bay Rays for Game one of their three-Game set this Friday from Kauffman Stadium. Tampa snuck away with a two-run victory after strong late Game production, 4-2.
Rays Betting Preview
Tampa Bay comes in at 60-35 after defeating Kansas City. The Tampa offense is scoring 5.13 runs per Game, while batting .264, with a .336 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.70 ERA, with a 1.22 WHIP. Randy Arozarena had multiple hits in the Game three win over Atlanta, and he’s first on the team in HR (16) and RBI (58). Wander Franco has recorded a hit in four of the last six Games, and he leads the Rays in hits (95), while batting .278, with 44 RBI.
Zach Eflin (10-4, 3.25 ERA, 84 Ks) will take the hill for Tampa Bay. The eighth-year righty stopped the bleeding pre-All Star break for Tampa by delivering a solid effort against Atlanta that saw him hold them to two runs through five innings, and earn win number ten. Eflin has completed Shane McClanahan very well atop the Rays rotation this season, and he’ll look to carry that momentum over into the second half. Eflin pitched well in his matchup with KC three weeks ago, striking out seven through six innings of work and earning the winning decision.
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Royals Betting Preview
Kansas City comes in at 26-67 after losing to Tampa. The Kansas City offense is scoring 3.35 runs per Game, while batting .231, with a .295 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.29 ERA, with a 1.47 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a hit in nine of the last ten Games, and he leads KC in hits (93) and RBI (47), with thirteen homers. Salvador Perez had a hit in the Game four win over Cleveland, and he leads the Royals in home runs (15), with 40 RBI.
Jordan Lyles (1-11, 6.42 ERA, 69 Ks) will take the mound for Kansas City. The journeyman pitcher closed the first half well in Cleveland, striking out five over five innings pitched, while holding the Guardians to just one run. It’s been a rocky season for Lyles, who hasn’t benefited from much run support, but he’s managed to be a reliable inning-eater for this ball club. Lyles lone win came against these same Rays, so that may or may not be in his favor Sunday, as they could be out for revenge.
Tampa vs Kansas City Trends
Tampa Bay is 49-44 against the spread this season, with a 47-48-3 O/U record. Kansas City is 31-60 ATS this year, with a 42-47-2 over/under record.
Corey’s Free Pick
The mighty Tampa Bay Rays look like their way to another series sweep, and there’s a good chance they complete the mission. Tampa will have the task of taking down their nemesis 1-11 Jordan Lyles, who earned his lone victory in Tampa back in June, and I think they strike a little revenge here. Lyles has been decent in his own right, he’s just on a bad team that could end up dropping their ninth out of ten Games here Sunday. Let’s not overthink and back Tampa here.
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